Macedonia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.5%
74.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
18%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
MKD
3 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
TUR
3 - 2
MKD
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MKD
3 - 1
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
74 | 16 | 58 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 2
SVK
30%
26%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
ENG
3 - 1
CRO
70%
20%
11%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVK
79%
16%
5%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCG
92%
7%
1%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
RSA
1 - 2
ENG
15%
24%
61%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
TUR
74%
18%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |