Macedonia vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 3
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 0
FRO
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 0
LVA
77%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 2
MKD
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
LVA
0 - 3
MKD
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
3 - 1
KAZ
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
ISL
52%
25%
24%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
WAL
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
MNE
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ISL
2 - 2
WAL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |