Macedonia vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
POL
4 - 1
MKD
70%
19%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MKD
3 - 2
SVN
41%
30%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
SRB
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 2
CRO
12%
23%
65%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
MKD
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
DEN
39%
26%
35%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
DEN
51%
26%
24%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 1
DEN
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 0
CZE
51%
25%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 3
SVK
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |