Macedonia vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GEO
2 - 0
MKD
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MKD
4 - 0
GIB
82%
13%
6%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MKD
0 - 3
GEO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
GIB
0 - 2
MKD
9%
16%
75%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BGR
5 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
0 - 0
BGR
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
GIB
1 - 1
BGR
7%
14%
79%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
2 - 5
GEO
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |