Macedonia vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LIE
0 - 3
MKD
9%
18%
72%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
MKD
89%
9%
2%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
2 - 3
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
ISR
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
MKD
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SWE
4 - 0
BLR
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BGR
1 - 0
BLR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GRC
0 - 1
BLR
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NED
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
3%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |