Macedonia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 2
BGR
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SVN
1 - 0
MKD
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
LBN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
MKD
4 - 1
MNE
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BLR
0 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 0
AND
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AZE
0 - 1
KAZ
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
AZE
2 - 1
MDA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AZE
1 - 3
ITA
8%
22%
70%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |