WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 2-13Macau vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability

0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.9%
Win probability

2.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
![]() 6 - 1
![]() MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
24 Jun. 2007 |
TWN
![]() 7 - 2
![]() MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
21 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
![]() 7 - 1
![]() MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
17 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
![]() 0 - 0
![]() MNG
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
![]() 2 - 1
![]() MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
![]() 6 - 1
![]() MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 31 | 44 | 0 |
03 Oct. 2007 |
THA
![]() 1 - 1
![]() NPL
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
16 Jul. 2007 |
THA
![]() 0 - 4
![]() AUS
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
12 Jul. 2007 |
THA
![]() 2 - 0
![]() OMA
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
07 Jul. 2007 |
THA
![]() 1 - 1
![]() IRQ
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |