Macau vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 5
KAZ
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 5
IRQ
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
8 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
IRQ
4 - 2
NPL
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 87 | 45 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
4 - 0
NPL
85%
11%
3%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
1 - 9
IRQ
5%
13%
83%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
0 - 6
KAZ
10%
19%
72%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |