Macau vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 0
MAC
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAC
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TWN
5 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
KHM
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
KHM
3 - 0
MAC
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
MNG
0 - 1
TLS
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TLS
4 - 1
MNG
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 2
MNG
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
2 - 0
MNG
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MNG
4 - 0
MNP
93%
6%
1%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |