Macau vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 5
MAC
1%
7%
92%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 7
VIE
19%
21%
61%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
2 - 0
MNG
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MNG
4 - 0
MNP
93%
6%
1%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LAO
1 - 1
MNG
49%
21%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
MMR
2 - 0
MNG
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MNG
1 - 0
MMR
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |