Macau vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
6 - 1
MNP
97%
3%
0%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 9
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
KHM
3 - 1
MAC
55%
20%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
NPL
3 - 2
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GUM
1 - 0
MNG
6%
13%
81%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PRK
5 - 1
MNG
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MNG
5 - 2
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |