Macau vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TWN
7 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
BGD
3 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
KHM
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MMR
4 - 0
MAC
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
MNG
3 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HKG
4 - 2
PHL
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
HKG
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 0
YEM
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
8%
18%
74%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
3 - 0
HKG
90%
8%
2%
|
55 | 91 | 36 | 0 |