Macau vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
KHM
3 - 1
MAC
55%
20%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
NPL
3 - 2
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 7
THA
9%
15%
76%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
THA
6 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 75 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TWN
7 - 2
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
TKM
3 - 0
HKG
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HKG
0 - 0
TKM
38%
23%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HKG
8 - 1
TLS
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TLS
2 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |