Macau vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
KGZ
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
PAK
2 - 2
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TJK
4 - 0
MAC
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
HKG
8 - 1
MAC
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
VCT
2 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
BGD
0 - 1
HKG
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 3
QAT
9%
19%
72%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HKG
2 - 2
IND
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
HKG
1 - 1
SGP
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 4
CRO
14%
26%
60%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |