Macau vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
JPN
3 - 0
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
MAC
0 - 1
SGP
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRN
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
MAC
2 - 1
NPL
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Jun. 1997 |
MAC
0 - 2
OMA
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2000 |
HKG
0 - 1
CHN
15%
22%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
HKG
0 - 0
SGP
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
HKG
1 - 3
URU
15%
24%
61%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
HKG
4 - 3
MUS
69%
17%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1999 |
HKG
0 - 0
MEX
16%
26%
59%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | +1 |