Macau vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1983 |
HKG
3 - 4
THA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1982 |
HKG
0 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1982 |
CHN
2 - 0
HKG
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1980 |
HKG
1 - 0
AUS
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1980 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |