Luxembourg vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
LUX
4 - 2
POR
50%
20%
30%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
ENG
4 - 1
LUX
90%
6%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
POR
6 - 0
LUX
70%
15%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
LUX
0 - 9
ENG
27%
21%
52%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1960 |
SUI
2 - 2
LUX
73%
14%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1961 |
URU
1 - 2
SUN
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 1
AUT
41%
23%
37%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |