Luxembourg vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 2
NIR
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BGR
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BGR
0 - 0
LUX
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BLR
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
AZE
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
SVK
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
SWE
10%
19%
71%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SVK
2 - 2
SWE
35%
25%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |