Luxembourg vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.7%
75%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
GEO
11%
19%
70%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 2
MLT
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LUX
2 - 1
MKD
11%
21%
67%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 1
CHE
10%
21%
69%
|
39 | 91 | 52 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
BIH
5 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
PRT
2 - 0
PAN
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PRT
0 - 0
ESP
15%
18%
67%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
CZE
0 - 1
PRT
33%
25%
43%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
PRT
2 - 1
NLD
26%
23%
51%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
DNK
2 - 3
PRT
38%
25%
38%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |