Luxembourg vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 1
SUI
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 91 | 49 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
BIH
5 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
2 - 1
ALB
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 77 | 37 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
ROU
11%
21%
68%
|
41 | 91 | 50 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
POR
5 - 0
LUX
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 95 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 0
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
SVK
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ARM
4 - 1
MKD
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 0
AND
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
RUS
1 - 0
MKD
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |