Luxembourg vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LUX
0 - 4
RUS
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 91 | 52 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LUX
3 - 4
LVA
17%
23%
59%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
LUX
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SVK
3 - 1
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
40 | 95 | 55 | -1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 2
POR
5%
17%
77%
|
18 | 96 | 78 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
SVK
7 - 0
LIE
89%
9%
2%
|
18 | 85 | 67 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
NED
3 - 0
LIE
95%
4%
0%
|
18 | 97 | 79 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 2
EST
7%
16%
77%
|
18 | 70 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
SUI
1 - 0
LIE
96%
4%
1%
|
18 | 89 | 71 | 0 |