Luxembourg vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 3
LVA
19%
24%
56%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LUX
0 - 0
ALB
21%
25%
53%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
YUG
6 - 2
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 95 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
LUX
0 - 3
SUI
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 89 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FRO
1 - 0
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
LIE
0 - 0
NIR
5%
18%
78%
|
12 | 86 | 74 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
LIE
0 - 1
FRO
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 59 | 46 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BIH
5 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
3%
|
13 | 77 | 64 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
LIE
0 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
83%
|
13 | 98 | 85 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
LIE
0 - 3
ISR
10%
20%
70%
|
13 | 86 | 73 | 0 |