Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
64.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
LUX
0 - 1
SWE
11%
23%
66%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ENG
6 - 0
LUX
79%
16%
5%
|
43 | 97 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
LUX
2 - 3
POL
10%
18%
72%
|
43 | 89 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LUX
0 - 2
BGR
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
FIN
4 - 1
NIR
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
NIR
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 3
TUR
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
NIR
0 - 1
FRA
14%
26%
61%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
IRL
0 - 1
NIR
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |