Luxembourg vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.8%
80%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 4
KVM
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 1
SWE
11%
23%
66%
|
44 | 89 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGR
4 - 3
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
44 | 85 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LVA
3 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
NED
0 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
NED
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
NED
25%
24%
50%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
NED
1 - 2
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |