Luxembourg vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.6%
84.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
-4
11.6%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
MKD
3 - 2
LUX
80%
14%
5%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LUX
1 - 1
BLR
12%
21%
68%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
LUX
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 92 | 49 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
BEL
5 - 1
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 89 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 0
CPV
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
2 - 1
ESP
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
5 - 1
MKD
88%
10%
2%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
AUS
0 - 3
ESP
6%
13%
81%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |