Luxembourg vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
LUX
1 - 1
EST
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
LUX
1 - 3
NIR
12%
24%
65%
|
43 | 86 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
89%
9%
3%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
LUX
0 - 1
SWE
11%
23%
66%
|
43 | 94 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ENG
6 - 0
LUX
79%
16%
5%
|
43 | 97 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 1
ESP
32%
27%
42%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
25%
19%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |