Luxembourg vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1983 |
GRC
1 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
LUX
0 - 4
ENG
14%
23%
63%
|
41 | 92 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
DEN
6 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
HUN
6 - 2
LUX
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 90 | 48 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
LUX
2 - 6
HUN
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 89 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
HUN
54%
25%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ESP
12 - 1
MLT
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1983 |
NED
2 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
ISL
0 - 1
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |