Luxembourg vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
54.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 0
LUX
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 95 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 0
BLR
12%
21%
68%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
LUX
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 3
BIH
11%
20%
69%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
WAL
5 - 1
LUX
82%
14%
5%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CTA
2 - 0
ALG
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 10 | 68 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 1
TAN
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ALG
1 - 2
GAB
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
ENG
0 - 0
ALG
95%
5%
1%
|
79 | 97 | 18 | 0 |