Lithuania vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
64.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
MNE
2 - 0
LTU
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 1
SRB
20%
27%
54%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LKA
0 - 2
LTU
11%
20%
70%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 1
IRN
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
SRB
2 - 2
ROU
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ROU
0 - 0
MNE
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 0
FIN
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
ROU
3 - 2
CHI
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 0
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |