Lithuania vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CZE
0 - 1
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 0
SCO
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 2
BLR
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
MDA
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
BIH
68%
20%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
POL
3 - 1
CIV
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ECU
2 - 2
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |