Lithuania vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
DEN
5 - 0
LTU
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MLT
0 - 0
LTU
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
LTU
2 - 2
FIN
12%
20%
67%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
POL
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
XXK
1 - 0
LTU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
NED
8 - 0
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 93 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MLT
0 - 0
LTU
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MLT
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MLT
0 - 1
FIN
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
MLT
0 - 0
AND
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |