Lithuania vs Estonia analysis

Lithuania Estonia
75 ELO 66
-0.4% Tilt -8.3%
4048º General ELO ranking 2705º
21º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
58.4%
Lithuania
22.3%
Draw
19.3%
Estonia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
Lithuania
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
Estonia
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lithuania
-2%
-21%
Estonia

ELO progression

Lithuania
Estonia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2001
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 2
Romania
ROU
16%
22%
63%
75 93 18 0
28 Mar. 2001
ITA
Italy
4 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
83%
14%
4%
75 98 23 0
24 Mar. 2001
HUN
Hungary
1 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
74%
18%
9%
75 88 13 0
28 Feb. 2001
ROU
Romania
3 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
81%
14%
5%
75 93 18 0
26 Feb. 2001
CYP
Cyprus
1 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
60%
22%
19%
74 74 0 +1

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2001
LVA
Latvia
3 - 1
Estonia
EST
54%
23%
22%
68 71 3 0
06 Jun. 2001
EST
Estonia
0 - 2
Ireland
IRL
18%
24%
58%
68 92 24 0
02 Jun. 2001
EST
Estonia
2 - 4
Netherlands
NED
10%
17%
73%
68 97 29 0
09 May. 2001
EST
Estonia
1 - 1
Finland
FIN
31%
26%
42%
68 81 13 0
25 Apr. 2001
MDA
Moldova
0 - 0
Estonia
EST
60%
21%
18%
68 72 4 0