Lithuania vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
2 - 0
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CZE
0 - 1
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LTU
0 - 0
SCO
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
CZE
71%
19%
10%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
COL
74%
18%
9%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 3
ESP
12%
21%
67%
|
99 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
5%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | +1 |