Lithuania vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
67.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LTU
4 - 0
SMR
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 1
LTU
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
RUS
4 - 3
LTU
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 0
LTU
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 1
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
77%
15%
7%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 2
VEN
81%
13%
5%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
0 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |