Lithuania vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
67.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1993 |
LTU
0 - 1
NIR
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1993 |
LTU
0 - 1
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
LTU
3 - 1
ALB
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
POL
1 - 1
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
5 - 0
LTU
93%
6%
1%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
ESP
3 - 1
NIR
74%
19%
8%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
DEN
1 - 0
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
5 - 0
LTU
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1992 |
ESP
5 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |