Lithuania vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
GER
1 - 1
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
3 - 0
LTU
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
LTU
2 - 0
FRO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
LTU
0 - 2
GER
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
2 - 1
ISL
65%
23%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
SCO
0 - 2
IRL
37%
28%
36%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
SCO
65%
21%
13%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
SCO
3 - 1
CAN
63%
24%
13%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
0 - 2
SCO
29%
27%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |