Lithuania vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
GEO
0 - 2
LTU
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 0
UKR
28%
31%
41%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 0
LTU
82%
14%
4%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 1
FRO
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SCO
3 - 1
LTU
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AZE
0 - 0
KAZ
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 1
BEL
12%
24%
64%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
AZE
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 6
SRB
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
POR
9%
22%
69%
|
66 | 95 | 29 | 0 |