Liechtenstein vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
70.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
LIE
1 - 2
MKD
9%
16%
75%
|
24 | 77 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
LIE
96%
3%
0%
|
24 | 96 | 72 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
LIE
3 - 0
LUX
26%
23%
50%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
RUS
2 - 0
LIE
96%
3%
0%
|
20 | 91 | 71 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LIE
0 - 0
SVK
10%
21%
68%
|
20 | 86 | 66 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
KSA
1 - 0
TOG
74%
18%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ANG
3 - 2
TOG
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
CMR
2 - 0
TOG
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOG
0 - 2
COD
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
TOG
1 - 0
GHA
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |