Liechtenstein vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
POR
4%
14%
83%
|
27 | 93 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
27 | 76 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
BIH
6%
15%
79%
|
27 | 82 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SVK
3 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
27 | 84 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BIH
2 - 1
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
28 | 82 | 54 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LUX
4 - 1
BIH
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 1
SVK
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
LUX
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
9 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
63 | 93 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LUX
3 - 1
ISL
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |