Liechtenstein vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.5%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
0.1%
+1
1.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
0.1%
0
14.6%
83.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
23.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
24.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
26.1%
0-3
16.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
0.4%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 2
SVK
8%
21%
71%
|
18 | 85 | 67 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
LIE
95%
5%
1%
|
18 | 98 | 80 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 3
TUR
11%
24%
65%
|
18 | 89 | 71 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
LIE
2 - 2
SMR
32%
23%
46%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +2 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
POL
1 - 0
GRC
51%
26%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NED
4 - 0
GRC
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 0
SUI
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GRC
2 - 0
BGR
52%
25%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 1
GRC
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |