Liechtenstein vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.8%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
81.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.6%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.2%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 81 | 57 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
LIE
1 - 0
LVA
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LIE
1 - 4
NIR
15%
25%
60%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIE
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
4 - 1
LIE
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LVA
0 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
71%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
ISL
83%
13%
4%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEN
61%
22%
16%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
ENG
0 - 1
ESP
47%
26%
28%
|
98 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 1
ROU
67%
21%
13%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |