Liechtenstein vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
72%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GEO
2 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
29 | 74 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
LIE
0 - 3
EST
7%
17%
76%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
GRC
2 - 0
LIE
84%
13%
4%
|
30 | 89 | 59 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
BIH
4 - 1
LIE
90%
8%
2%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
LIE
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
IRN
0 - 0
BLR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 1
BLR
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
BLR
0 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BLR
1 - 0
JPN
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |