Liechtenstein vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GIB
2 - 2
LIE
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
3%
|
25 | 85 | 60 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
LIE
82%
14%
5%
|
26 | 77 | 51 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LVA
1 - 1
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 3
HKG
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
TKM
0 - 0
HKG
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HKG
2 - 4
IRN
6%
18%
76%
|
45 | 90 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | -1 |