Latvia vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SVN
0 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BLR
4 - 1
LVA
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 1
LVA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LVA
3 - 1
KAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LVA
0 - 2
KWT
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 1
ISL
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GER
3 - 0
ISL
87%
9%
3%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ISL
0 - 0
GER
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FRO
1 - 2
ISL
25%
25%
49%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |