Latvia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
76.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
4 - 0
LVA
82%
13%
6%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
LVA
2 - 0
ARM
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
LVA
0 - 2
WAL
17%
25%
58%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
5 - 0
LVA
86%
11%
3%
|
58 | 91 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
ARM
2 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRO
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 1
TUR
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ARM
0 - 1
CRO
9%
18%
72%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
5 - 0
LVA
86%
11%
3%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 0
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |