Latvia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
FIN
2 - 1
LVA
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
BHR
4 - 2
LVA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2004 |
OMA
3 - 2
LVA
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
LIE
1 - 3
LVA
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 20 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LVA
2 - 2
EST
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
CYP
1 - 1
AUT
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
NIR
3 - 3
AUT
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
1 - 3
POL
45%
25%
30%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
2 - 0
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
2 - 2
ENG
26%
28%
46%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |