Latvia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
ENG
3 - 0
LVA
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
AND
0 - 1
LVA
15%
21%
65%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LVA
1 - 2
ARM
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MKD
1 - 0
LVA
77%
15%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 1
LVA
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
AZE
0 - 2
BLR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
AZE
0 - 3
HTI
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
AZE
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AZE
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 3
SVK
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |