Latvia vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
LVA
0 - 0
ISL
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SVN
0 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BLR
4 - 1
LVA
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 1
LVA
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
LVA
3 - 1
KAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
AZE
3 - 1
UZB
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KAZ
2 - 3
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ISR
6 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
KSA
1 - 0
AZE
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |