Kenya vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
TOG
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 1
KEN
81%
15%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
KEN
0 - 1
MOZ
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
UGA
24%
27%
50%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
KEN
0 - 0
TAN
39%
27%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
MWI
0 - 1
ZAM
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ZIM
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
ALG
5 - 0
ZAM
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 2
SWZ
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |