Kenya vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GNB
1 - 0
KEN
34%
25%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CPV
2 - 0
KEN
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
KEN
1 - 0
CPV
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
KEN
0 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 5
KEN
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GNB
1 - 0
KEN
34%
25%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GNB
2 - 4
CGO
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MLI
3 - 1
GNB
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |